Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | BOIS -125 CSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -3.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.9 (-6.9) | 132.4 (+18.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -3.1 (-6.1) | 133.8 (+17.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.2 (-6.2) | 133.8 (+17.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.8 (-5.8) | 134.8 (+16.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 25-6 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#40) | 10.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#30) | 2.72 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#34) | 2.97 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#35) | 0.615 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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