Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -230 CSU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +10 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -5.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -6.0 (-16.0) | 138.0 (+18.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -5.6 (-15.6) | 138.1 (+17.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -5.9 (-15.9) | 139.6 (+16.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -5.8 (-15.8) | 138.9 (+17.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CSU 75 – 62 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#47) | 10.4 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#51) | 1.77 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#48) | 2.21 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#41) | 0.566 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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