Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | CSU -105 BOIS -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -1.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -0.7 (+13.7) | 135.3 (-10.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.8 (+13.8) | 135.0 (-10.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.4 (+13.4) | 137.5 (-12.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -0.5 (+13.5) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CSU 75 – 62 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#56) | 12.0 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#51) | 1.97 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#52) | 2.53 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#51) | 0.577 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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