Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CSU +100 BOIS -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -0.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -0.6 (+2.4) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.8 (+2.2) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -1.2 (+1.8) | 144.3 (+2.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.3 (+2.7) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CSU 75 – 62 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#79) | 11.1 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#85) | 1.49 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#77) | 2.01 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#96) | 0.574 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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