Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -112 BOIS -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -0.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -1.6 (-12.6) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -2.1 (-13.1) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -1.7 (-12.7) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.7 (-11.7) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CSU 75 – 62 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#87) | 10.2 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#73) | 1.68 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#72) | 1.91 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#77) | 0.582 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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