Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CSU -250 BOIS +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -4.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -3.0 (+10.0) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -5.0 (+8.0) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -4.6 (+8.4) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -4.9 (+8.1) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#34) | 11.0 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#22) | 2.09 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#20) | 2.36 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#11) | 0.606 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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