Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -245 CSU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -4.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.4 (+1.6) | 138.6 (+13.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -5.0 (+1.0) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.4 (+1.6) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.5 (+1.5) | 140.0 (+12.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CSU 75 – 62 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#85) | 6.2 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#78) | 0.92 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#87) | 1.45 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#49) | 0.546 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 59.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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