Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -120 DRKE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +9 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.3 (+7.7) | 137.9 (-10.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -2.9 (+6.1) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.2 (+5.8) | 140.6 (-13.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -2.8 (+6.2) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#88) | 6.4 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#166) | 0.67 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#153) | 0.79 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#160) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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