Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -190 BRAD +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +15 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -1.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.4 (+12.6) | 121.4 (-10.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.6 (+11.4) | 122.7 (-11.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -2.4 (+12.6) | 126.3 (-15.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.4 (+12.6) | 125.5 (-14.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 72 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#72) | 6.2 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#28) | 1.71 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#37) | 1.55 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#32) | 0.570 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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