Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -138 BRAD +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -1.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -1.2 (+3.8) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -0.7 (+4.3) | 141.8 (-2.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -1.1 (+3.9) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -1.1 (+3.9) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 13-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#50) | 8.7 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#36) | 1.31 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#41) | 1.57 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#14) | 0.586 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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