Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -240 BRAD +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -7.6 (-9.6) | 127.4 (-7.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.4 (-10.4) | 125.1 (-5.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.8 (-8.8) | 132.7 (-12.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.2 (-9.2) | 132.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 72 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#74) | 6.1 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#25) | 1.49 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#34) | 1.42 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#30) | 0.561 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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