Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -125 DRKE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -3.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -3.5 (-10.5) | 128.3 (-7.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.7 (-9.7) | 127.3 (-6.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -3.6 (-10.6) | 132.8 (-11.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.9 (-10.9) | 133.5 (-12.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BRAD 93 – 66 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 72 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#85) | 6.2 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#55) | 1.83 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#67) | 2.27 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.585 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.1% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.