Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -290 DRKE +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +27 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -5.2 (+21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -5.1 (+21.9) | 146.4 (+12.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -5.0 (+22.0) | 144.6 (+14.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -4.5 (+22.5) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -4.9 (+22.1) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRAD 87 – 73 DRKE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | DRKE 63 – 48 BRAD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 59 DRKE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 57 BRAD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | DRKE 72 – 67 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#125) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#123) | -0.45 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#133) | -0.30 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#125) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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