Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | PEPP +600 BYU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -13.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.0 (+6.0) | 148.7 (+27.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -11.9 (+5.9) | 147.2 (+28.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -11.2 (+5.2) | 148.4 (+27.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -12.4 (+6.4) | 148.3 (+27.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
| Jan 27, 2021 | PEPP 76 – 73 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 9-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-13 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#294) | 8.9 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#286) | 1.81 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#275) | 2.43 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#305) | 0.600 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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