Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +260 BYU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -8.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.3 (+10.3) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -6.1 (+9.1) | 145.4 (+3.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -7.4 (+10.4) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.6 (+10.6) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 7-6 | 10-3 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#149) | 12.0 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#169) | 2.87 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#167) | 3.50 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#137) | 0.624 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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