Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +250 BYU -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +12 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -4.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.5 (+17.5) | 153.4 (+18.6) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -7.1 (+19.1) | 153.2 (+18.8) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -4.8 (+16.8) | 153.9 (+18.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.3 (+17.3) | 153.8 (+18.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
| Jan 27, 2021 | PEPP 76 – 73 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#200) | 7.0 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#266) | 0.84 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#236) | 1.34 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#238) | 0.539 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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