Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -2400 PEPP +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -18.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -17.7 (-1.7) | 150.5 (-16.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -15.8 (+0.2) | 149.6 (-15.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -16.5 (-0.5) | 152.3 (-18.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -17.2 (-1.2) | 152.7 (-18.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
| Jan 27, 2021 | PEPP 76 – 73 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 1-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#60) | -7.1 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#50) | -1.39 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#42) | -1.52 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#42) | 0.424 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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