Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -8.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.5 (+1.5) | 152.8 (+19.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.8 (-0.8) | 152.4 (+19.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -8.8 (+1.2) | 148.9 (+23.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -8.8 (+1.2) | 149.7 (+22.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 77 PEPP |
| Jan 27, 2021 | PEPP 76 – 73 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 2-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#85) | 1.5 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#96) | -0.55 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#81) | -0.20 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#111) | 0.488 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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