Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -360 PEPP +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -10.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -8.9 (-3.9) | 150.0 (+9.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.0 (-3.0) | 147.4 (+11.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -9.9 (-4.9) | 148.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -9.1 (-4.1) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | PEPP 92 – 80 BYU |
| Jan 15, 2023 | BYU 91 – 81 PEPP |
| Feb 27, 2022 | BYU 75 – 59 PEPP |
| Feb 13, 2022 | BYU 91 – 85 PEPP |
| Jan 27, 2021 | PEPP 76 – 73 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 7-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#24) | 2.8 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#14) | 0.89 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#16) | 0.86 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#4) | 0.532 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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