Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -340 DETM +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -8.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.9 (+10.1) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -6.8 (+9.2) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -6.7 (+9.3) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.9 (+9.1) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 10-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | -3.1 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#118) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#138) | -1.18 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#61) | 0.484 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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