Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | MTSU -270 CLT +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -7.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -6.6 (+8.4) | 146.9 (-5.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -5.7 (+9.3) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -6.3 (+8.7) | 148.3 (-7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -6.5 (+8.5) | 149.4 (-8.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | MTSU 66 – 65 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MTSU 62 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 29, 2022 | CLT 82 – 67 MTSU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CLT 60 – 56 MTSU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MTSU 73 – 60 CLT |
Game Analysis
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