Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -150 CLT +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -1.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -1.4 (+2.6) | 129.9 (-9.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -1.7 (+2.3) | 127.1 (-7.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -1.5 (+2.5) | 129.9 (-9.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -1.2 (+2.8) | 130.3 (-10.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | MTSU 66 – 65 CLT |
| Dec 29, 2022 | CLT 82 – 67 MTSU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CLT 60 – 56 MTSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | MTSU 78 – 63 CLT |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MTSU 73 – 60 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#125) | 5.1 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#112) | 0.52 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#130) | 0.82 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#81) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.