Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -2.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -1.4 (+5.4) | 142.2 (-26.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -1.2 (+5.2) | 141.3 (-25.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -1.6 (+5.6) | 144.9 (-28.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -1.5 (+5.5) | 145.3 (-29.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | MTSU 66 – 65 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MTSU 62 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 29, 2022 | CLT 82 – 67 MTSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | MTSU 78 – 63 CLT |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MTSU 73 – 60 CLT |
Game Analysis
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