Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -1.0 Push |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | MTSU +105 CLT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -0.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -0.8 (+1.8) | 128.8 (+2.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -0.3 (+0.7) | 125.2 (+5.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -0.3 (+1.3) | 129.8 (+1.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -0.8 (+1.8) | 130.9 (+0.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2023 | MTSU 62 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 29, 2022 | CLT 82 – 67 MTSU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CLT 60 – 56 MTSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | MTSU 78 – 63 CLT |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MTSU 73 – 60 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#127) | 3.7 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#109) | 0.52 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#130) | 0.71 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#79) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.