Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -125 MTSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -7.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -6.4 (+8.6) | 133.6 (+15.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -4.5 (+10.5) | 130.4 (+18.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -6.1 (+8.9) | 134.7 (+14.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.4 (+8.6) | 135.2 (+13.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | MTSU 66 – 65 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MTSU 62 – 58 CLT |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CLT 60 – 56 MTSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | MTSU 78 – 63 CLT |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MTSU 73 – 60 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#77) | 3.8 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#70) | 0.60 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#90) | 0.59 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#79) | 0.533 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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