Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | LUC -270 UNI +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -9.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -11.9 (+15.1) | 135.0 (+8.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -8.9 (+18.1) | 138.6 (+4.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -8.9 (+18.1) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -9.1 (+17.9) | 137.7 (+5.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UNI 72 – 51 LUC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LUC 66 – 43 UNI |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNI 102 – 96 LUC |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LUC 88 – 46 UNI |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LUC 72 – 57 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#26) | 5.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#49) | 0.49 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#52) | 0.63 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#53) | 0.544 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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