Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNI +110 LUC -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 198 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -4.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+58.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -3.0 (+9.0) | 137.0 (+61.0) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -2.7 (+8.7) | 141.8 (+56.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -2.2 (+8.2) | 142.3 (+55.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -2.0 (+8.0) | 141.6 (+56.4) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UNI 72 – 51 LUC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LUC 66 – 43 UNI |
| Feb 13, 2022 | LUC 85 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LUC 88 – 46 UNI |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LUC 72 – 57 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#98) | 12.7 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#121) | 1.71 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#116) | 2.08 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#64) | 0.577 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.