Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +23 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -6.6 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -6.4 (-16.6) | 137.5 (-28.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -5.6 (-17.4) | 144.1 (-35.1) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -5.5 (-17.5) | 144.4 (-35.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -5.5 (-17.5) | 140.9 (-31.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UNI 72 – 51 LUC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNI 102 – 96 LUC |
| Feb 13, 2022 | LUC 85 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LUC 88 – 46 UNI |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LUC 72 – 57 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#92) | 12.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | 1.63 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#104) | 2.01 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#56) | 0.578 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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