Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -600 UNI +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +42 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -13.4 (+28.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -9.8 (+32.2) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -13.1 (+28.9) | 139.1 (-5.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -12.7 (+29.3) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -13.2 (+28.8) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | UNI 72 – 51 LUC |
| Mar 5, 2022 | LUC 66 – 43 UNI |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNI 102 – 96 LUC |
| Feb 13, 2022 | LUC 85 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LUC 72 – 57 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 6-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#53) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#93) | -0.74 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#82) | -0.57 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#103) | 0.494 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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