Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LUC +270 UNI -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +21 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -18.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -12.5 (-8.5) | 130.7 (-7.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -12.4 (-8.6) | 130.4 (-7.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -14.2 (-6.8) | 130.2 (-7.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -13.8 (-7.2) | 129.1 (-6.1) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | LUC 66 – 43 UNI |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNI 102 – 96 LUC |
| Feb 13, 2022 | LUC 85 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 17, 2021 | LUC 88 – 46 UNI |
| Jan 16, 2021 | LUC 72 – 57 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#330) | 7.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#350) | 2.49 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.82 (#351) | 3.46 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#344) | 0.641 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 59.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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