Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | ORST +140 STAN -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -4.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -5.1 (-5.9) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -4.3 (-6.7) | 136.2 (+4.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -5.1 (-5.9) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.6 (-4.4) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ORST 85 – 73 STAN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | STAN 88 – 84 ORST |
| Mar 3, 2023 | STAN 83 – 60 ORST |
| Jan 20, 2023 | STAN 67 – 46 ORST |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ORST 73 – 62 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-13 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#216) | 5.2 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#293) | 1.79 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#259) | 2.03 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#284) | 0.570 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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