Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -600 ORST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +21 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -9.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -6.4 (+14.6) | 133.4 (-20.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -8.8 (+12.2) | 127.9 (-14.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.5 (+14.5) | 130.4 (-17.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -6.5 (+14.5) | 133.9 (-20.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ORST 85 – 73 STAN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | STAN 88 – 84 ORST |
| Mar 3, 2023 | STAN 83 – 60 ORST |
| Feb 13, 2022 | STAN 76 – 65 ORST |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ORST 73 – 62 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 60.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | -2.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#254) | -0.45 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#222) | -0.80 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#244) | 0.466 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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