Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -500 ORST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -9.3 (-21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -7.3 (-19.3) | 142.9 (+15.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -7.8 (-19.8) | 146.6 (+11.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -7.3 (-19.3) | 146.1 (+11.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -7.4 (-19.4) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2024 | STAN 88 – 84 ORST |
| Mar 3, 2023 | STAN 83 – 60 ORST |
| Jan 20, 2023 | STAN 67 – 46 ORST |
| Feb 13, 2022 | STAN 76 – 65 ORST |
| Feb 27, 2021 | ORST 73 – 62 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#95) | -0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#129) | 0.10 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#118) | 0.19 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.478 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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