Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -250 ORST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -8.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -7.4 (-18.4) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -5.3 (-16.3) | 134.7 (+0.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -6.2 (-17.2) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -7.3 (-18.3) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | ORST 85 – 73 STAN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | STAN 88 – 84 ORST |
| Mar 3, 2023 | STAN 83 – 60 ORST |
| Jan 20, 2023 | STAN 67 – 46 ORST |
| Feb 13, 2022 | STAN 76 – 65 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#63) | 3.3 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#71) | 0.65 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#70) | 1.09 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#58) | 0.502 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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