Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WMU -120 CMU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -1.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -0.5 (+13.5) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.2 (+13.8) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.1 (+13.9) | 141.5 (-1.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.4 (+13.6) | 140.1 (-0.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-10 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#342) | -11.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#345) | -1.19 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#345) | -1.78 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#326) | 0.457 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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