Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +125 CMU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +29 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -2.2 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -2.2 (-26.8) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -2.4 (-26.6) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -1.6 (-27.4) | 148.2 (-5.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -1.9 (-27.1) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CMU 62 – 55 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#290) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#297) | -1.05 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#294) | -1.15 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#277) | 0.465 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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