Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -185 WMU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -2.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -2.3 (+10.7) | 145.1 (+7.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -1.8 (+11.2) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -2.2 (+10.8) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -2.5 (+10.5) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CMU 62 – 55 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#285) | -7.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#305) | -0.98 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#285) | -1.17 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#311) | 0.454 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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