Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -225 WMU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +27 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -4.6 (+22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -4.1 (+22.9) | 135.6 (-24.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -3.1 (+23.9) | 136.3 (-25.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -4.8 (+22.2) | 135.9 (-24.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -4.3 (+22.7) | 135.7 (-24.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CMU 62 – 55 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#279) | -7.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | -1.26 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#191) | -1.70 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.435 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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