Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -230 CMU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -9.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -7.7 (+4.3) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -7.1 (+4.9) | 145.8 (-3.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -7.9 (+4.1) | 146.8 (-4.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -7.8 (+4.2) | 145.8 (-3.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CMU 62 – 55 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#248) | -11.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#225) | -2.03 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#220) | -2.36 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#222) | 0.427 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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