Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -225 WMU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +21 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -7.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -5.9 (+15.1) | 143.8 (-18.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -5.2 (+15.8) | 143.2 (-18.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -5.7 (+15.3) | 144.5 (-19.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -5.9 (+15.1) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CMU 62 – 55 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#223) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#247) | -2.15 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#235) | -2.51 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#196) | 0.415 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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