They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Mid-American Conference · McGuirk Arena · January 26, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CMU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money CMU -225 / WMU +190
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual CMU +21 125 Won
Massey CMU -7.6 (+13.4)
Massey Totals 142.7 (-17.7)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 91%
Baseline Plus ML CMU -5.7 (+15.3) 144.5 (-19.5) 72%
Model 4 ML CMU -5.2 (+15.8) 143.2 (-18.2) 68%
Model 3 ML CMU -5.9 (+15.1) 143.8 (-18.8) 74%
Baseline ML CMU -5.9 (+15.1) 144.7 (-19.7) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 CMU 8370 WMU
Jan 24, 2026 WMU 7765 CMU
Feb 22, 2025 CMU 8657 WMU
Feb 18, 2024 CMU 6942 WMU
Jan 27, 2024 CMU 6255 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU WMU
Overall 14-17 12-20
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 8-6 6-9
Away 6-10 6-10
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.7 71.6
Avg Pts Against 74.4 77.0
Massey -3.6 (#223) -7.9 (#291)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#247) -2.15 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#235) -2.51 (#324)
RPI 0.487 (#196) 0.415 (#318)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU WMU
FG% 41.9% 42.5%
3PT% 29.3% 26.5%
REB / G 35.3 38.6
OREB / G 11.4 13.9
AST / TO 0.90 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 46.4%
TOV% 19.6% 15.9%
ORB% 32.4% 35.7%
FT Rate 21.4% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 15.2%
DRB% 71.4% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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