He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Mid-American Conference · University Arena (MI) · January 27, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WMU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WMU -167 / CMU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total WMU win
Actual CMU +7 117 Lost
Massey WMU -6.0 (-13.0) — —
Massey Totals — 143.5 (-26.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WMU -2.6 (-9.6) 139.6 (-22.6) 62% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WMU -3.7 (-10.7) 139.8 (-22.8) 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WMU -2.6 (-9.6) 141.5 (-24.5) 55% ✗
Baseline ML WMU -3.1 (-10.1) 140.8 (-23.8) 60% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 CMU 83 – 70 WMU
Jan 24, 2026 WMU 77 – 65 CMU
Feb 22, 2025 CMU 86 – 57 WMU
Jan 26, 2025 CMU 73 – 52 WMU
Feb 18, 2024 CMU 69 – 42 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WMU CMU
Overall 12-20 18-14
Conference 9-9 12-6
Home 7-7 10-3
Away 3-12 7-9
Neutral 2-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.5 65.7
Avg Pts Against 75.0 70.2
Massey -5.2 (#266) -7.5 (#293)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#268) -0.18 (#193)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#276) -0.63 (#229)
RPI 0.449 (#268) 0.485 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors WMU CMU
FG% 44.0% 42.7%
3PT% 34.5% 31.9%
REB / G 38.6 33.7
OREB / G 12.7 9.8
AST / TO 0.94 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 48.2%
TOV% 19.9% 18.4%
ORB% 34.4% 27.4%
FT Rate 19.7% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 17.3%
DRB% 69.1% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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