Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -7000 DSU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -22.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -16.0 (-3.0) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -15.8 (-2.8) | 141.3 (+15.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -16.1 (-3.1) | 141.7 (+15.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -16.4 (-3.4) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-13 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 0-14 |
| Home | 8-4 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-8 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#201) | -21.4 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#268) | -4.93 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#255) | -6.44 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#297) | 0.346 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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