Betting Lines
| Spread | DSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | DSU -125 HOW +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +21 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DSU -2.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -3.3 (+17.7) | 153.0 (+6.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DSU -2.1 (+18.9) | 151.0 (+8.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -3.3 (+17.7) | 152.9 (+6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -2.4 (+18.6) | 154.4 (+4.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HOW 85 – 66 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#298) | -7.9 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#277) | -1.29 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#301) | -1.77 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#284) | 0.445 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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