Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -470 DSU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -12.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -8.8 (+17.2) | 125.9 (+16.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -8.6 (+17.4) | 126.9 (+15.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -9.1 (+16.9) | 125.5 (+16.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -8.4 (+17.6) | 126.2 (+15.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HOW 85 – 66 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#283) | -16.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#263) | -2.85 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#270) | -3.57 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#268) | 0.380 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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