Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -300 DSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +6 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -5.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+41.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -2.4 (+3.6) | 150.4 (+43.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -2.8 (+3.2) | 147.6 (+46.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -3.1 (+2.9) | 148.8 (+45.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -2.9 (+3.1) | 149.7 (+44.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HOW 85 – 66 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#281) | -8.5 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#289) | -0.81 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#286) | -1.39 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#273) | 0.452 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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