Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +550 HOW -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +32 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -11.0 (-21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -11.7 (-20.3) | 131.0 (+19.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -9.7 (-22.3) | 130.3 (+19.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -10.4 (-21.6) | 130.0 (+20.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -11.5 (-20.5) | 130.8 (+19.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HOW 85 – 66 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -18.2 (#359) | -4.2 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#359) | -1.02 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.07 (#360) | -1.28 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#362) | 0.461 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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