Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -250 DSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -2.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -2.4 (+0.6) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -2.8 (+0.2) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -1.9 (+1.1) | 141.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -1.8 (+1.2) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HOW 85 – 66 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#273) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#276) | -1.38 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#266) | -1.43 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#248) | 0.437 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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