Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -250 DSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -4.8 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -3.8 (+15.2) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -5.1 (+13.9) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -3.9 (+15.1) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -3.7 (+15.3) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HOW 91 – 59 DSU |
| Jan 13, 2026 | HOW 84 – 58 DSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DSU 90 – 69 HOW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | HOW 100 – 94 DSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | HOW 70 – 67 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#276) | -7.8 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#290) | -1.35 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#288) | -1.36 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#266) | 0.433 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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