Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | JMU -550 W&M +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +14 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -12.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -10.8 (+3.2) | 148.4 (-24.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -10.4 (+3.6) | 145.8 (-21.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -10.9 (+3.1) | 147.1 (-23.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.3 (+3.7) | 148.5 (-24.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2022 | JMU 95 – 91 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#222) | -12.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#182) | -2.14 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#205) | -2.96 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#184) | 0.397 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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