Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +4 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -11.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+48.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -11.2 (+7.2) | 138.3 (+47.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -11.5 (+7.5) | 138.0 (+48.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -12.0 (+8.0) | 140.4 (+45.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.8 (+6.8) | 141.6 (+44.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | JMU 69 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L10 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#343) | 1.4 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#338) | 0.66 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.16 (#345) | 0.62 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#349) | 0.534 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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